The euro continues to lose ground as the USD strengthens. The current price is 1.1391. Find out more in our analysis for 25 September 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The US Services Purchasing Managers Index rose to 58.7
• The Eurozone Consumer Price Index came in at 3.2%
• EURUSD forecast for 25 September 2026: 1.1330

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD forecast takes into account that the main factor weighing on the pair remains the shift in expectations for US monetary policy. On 16 September, the Federal Reserve raised the target rate range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00%, stressing that inflation remains elevated while economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace. The median September projection of FOMC members puts the rate at around 4.1% by the end of 2026, meaning there is still room for further policy tightening.

The dollar received additional support from preliminary US PMI data released on 23 September. The S&P Global Composite PMI rose from 56.0 to 58.4, reaching its highest level in more than five years. At the same time, companies reported that cost growth accelerated to almost a four-year high. This means the US economy is still combining strong growth with persistent inflationary pressure, allowing the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance.

The situation for the euro is not entirely negative either. On 10 September, the ECB raised rates by 25 basis points: the deposit rate increased to 2.50%, while the main refinancing operations rate rose to 2.65%. The regulator expects average eurozone inflation of 3.0% in 2026, 2.5% in 2027, and only 2.1% in 2028. Therefore, the ECB's tightening cycle is probably not yet over.

The fundamental analysis for 25 September 2026 takes into account that strong eurozone PMI data and persistent inflation are limiting the euro's downside potential. Therefore, the fundamental picture suggests not an uninterrupted decline in EURUSD, but continued pressure on the pair with periodic and fairly strong corrections.

Technical outlook

On the D1 chart, EURUSD continues to develop a downtrend. The pair has fallen to its lowest levels since mid-summer this year. A minor correction is likely to form before the decline resumes. If the price fails to break above the local resistance at 1.1455, the decline is expected to continue. The current resistance level is located at 1.1490, while support is at 1.1370. This support is highly likely to be broken, with 1.1330 as the target. Consolidation may then follow.

At the same time, today's EURUSD forecast also allows for another scenario. The pair could rise above 1.1455 and break through resistance. In this case, the upside target could be 1.1525. This would mark a broader shift in the trend to bullish.

EURUSD overview

• Asset: EURUSD
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bearish
• Key resistance level: 1.1490
• Key support level: 1.1370

EURUSD trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Sell Stop)

Consolidation below the 1.1370 support level would confirm the continuation of the downtrend and create conditions for opening short positions.

• Current price: 1.1391
• Entry level: 1.1365
• Take Profit: 1.1340
• Stop Loss: 1.1380
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:3

The trade idea is valid until 23:00 PM on 25 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risk to the bearish EURUSD scenario would be a further easing of inflationary pressure in the US amid falling oil prices. This could reduce expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes and weaken the dollar. An additional factor could be an interest-rate increase by the ECB.

Summary

The prospect of another Federal Reserve interest-rate hike is putting additional pressure on the euro. At the same time, EURUSD technical analysis suggests a correction towards the 1.1415 level before the decline resumes.

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USDJPY continues to rise amid expectations of further Federal Reserve monetary-policy tightening. The current price is 158.27. Find out more in our analysis for 24 September 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The US Manufacturing PMI rose to 57.0, significantly exceeding the 53.6 forecast
• The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike rose to 68.6%, from 53.1% a day earlier
• USDJPY forecast for 24 September 2026: 155.50

Fundamental analysis

USDJPY is strengthening for the fifth consecutive trading session. Buyers managed to consolidate above the 157.95 resistance level, opening the way towards the next level at 159.55. The pair continues to rise amid sustained demand for the US dollar and weakness in the Japanese yen.

The dollar received additional support from preliminary US manufacturing business activity data. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 57.0 in September from 53.9 a month earlier, significantly exceeding the forecast of 53.6. The strong result points to sustained growth in the US manufacturing sector and supports expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a restrictive monetary-policy stance.

The market also continues to price in the prospect of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate increase at the next Federal Reserve meeting rose to 68.6% from 53.1% a day earlier. Following the rate increase at the September meeting, market attention has shifted to the future path of monetary policy.

The main risk to further USDJPY gains is the pair's approach to the 160 level. Japanese authorities have already signalled heightened attention to yen movements, while reports of a BoJ rate check have increased concerns about possible currency intervention.

Technical outlook

USDJPY continues to move within a bullish channel, although the risk of a Wedge reversal pattern forming remains. Today's USDJPY forecast suggests a resumption of the downward move towards the 155.50 target.

Indicator analysis points to continued downside potential for USDJPY. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought zone and is testing a descending resistance line, which may indicate the formation of a new bearish impulse. An additional signal in favour of a decline would be a clear breakout below the 157.75 support level, confirming that the price has moved outside the Wedge pattern.

At the same time, the risk of further upside remains. A breakout above the upper boundary of the channel and consolidation above 159.05 would signal further gains in USDJPY and invalidate the current bearish scenario.

USDJPY overview

• Asset: USDJPY
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bearish
• Key resistance levels: 159.05 and 160.25
• Key support levels: 157.75 and 156.70

USDJPY trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Sell Stop)

A decline in USDJPY below the lower boundary of the Wedge reversal pattern, followed by consolidation below 157.75, would indicate that the pattern is beginning to play out, with a target at 155.50.

• Current price: 158.27
• Entry level: 157.75
• Take Profit: 155.50
• Stop Loss: 158.30
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:4

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 25 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

Risks to the bearish USDJPY scenario remain amid strong US business activity data and rising expectations of further Federal Reserve monetary-policy tightening. An additional factor increasing bullish pressure would be a continuation of the USDJPY rise above 159.05, which could invalidate the bearish scenario.

Summary

USDJPY technical analysis indicates that the potential for a corrective decline remains as the Wedge reversal pattern begins to play out. A breakout below the 157.75 support level would confirm the bearish scenario with a target at 155.50.

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The euro continues to lose ground amid a stronger USD. The current price is 1.1385. Find out more in our analysis for 24 September 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The eurozone composite PMI rose to 53.1 in September from 52.0 previously
• Eurozone inflation exceeded 3%
• EURUSD forecast for 24 September 2026: 1.1415 and 1.1320

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD forecast takes into account that the fundamental backdrop for EURUSD has shifted noticeably in favour of the dollar: strong US data have once again strengthened expectations of further Federal Reserve monetary-policy tightening, while the prospects of additional ECB rate hikes remain less certain. After a sharp decline, the pair is correcting and testing the 1.1385 level.

The latest manufacturing indicator came in better than expected, heightening inflation concerns and once again increasing the probability of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. At the same time, a weak auction of five-year Treasuries pushed yields higher.

The eurozone composite PMI rose to 53.1 in September from 52.0 previously, reaching its highest level in more than three years. This reduces concerns about a sharp slowdown in the region's economy and provides fundamental support for the euro.

Eurozone inflation exceeded 3.0%, while higher energy prices create a risk of further acceleration. At the same time, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted the absence of significant second-round effects through wages. This reduces the probability of an aggressive rate-hike cycle.

Strong US data, rising Treasury yields, and the likelihood of further Federal Reserve rate hikes are supporting the dollar. The euro is being supported by the resilience of the eurozone economy and high inflation, but uncertainty over the ECB's next steps limits this support.

The fundamental analysis for 24 September 2026 takes into account that further strengthening of inflation signals from the US would support the dollar, while sustained eurozone growth and new hawkish signals from the ECB could partially restore the euro's position.

Technical outlook

On the H4 chart, EURUSD formed an Inverted Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, the pair could continue its corrective wave as the pattern signal plays out, with resistance around 1.1415 serving as the correction target. A rebound from this level would open the way for the downtrend to resume.

At the same time, today's EURUSD forecast also allows for another scenario. The pair could continue to decline and test support around 1.1320 without first testing the resistance level.

EURUSD overview

• Asset: EURUSD
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bearish
• Key resistance levels: 1.1415 and 1.1489
• Key support levels: 1.1374 and 1.1320

EURUSD trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Sell Stop)

Consolidation below the 1.1374 support level would confirm the continuation of the downtrend and create conditions for opening short positions.

• Current price: 1.1385
• Entry level: 1.1374
• Take Profit: 1.1320
• Stop Loss: 1.1394
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:2

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 25 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risk to the bearish EURUSD scenario would be a further easing of inflationary pressure in the US amid falling oil prices. This could reduce expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes and weaken the dollar. An additional factor could be an interest rate increase by the ECB.

Summary

The prospect of another Federal Reserve interest rate hike is putting additional pressure on the euro. At the same time, EURUSD technical analysis suggests a correction towards the 1.1415 level before the decline resumes.

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The probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike as early as October is 55%. The current price is 157.78. Find out more in our analysis for 23 September 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• According to Reuters, the market estimates the probability of another rate hike at the October meeting at around 55%
• The Bank of Japan raised the interest rate to 1.25%
• USDJPY forecast for 23 September 2026: 158.90

Fundamental analysis

The fundamental backdrop for USDJPY currently remains largely in favour of the dollar despite the Bank of Japan's tighter monetary policy. On 16 September, the Federal Reserve raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75–4.00%. Moreover, Federal Reserve officials continue to point to elevated inflation risks and allow for further policy tightening. The resilience of the US economy provides additional support to the dollar.

The Bank of Japan has also shifted towards tighter policy. On 18 September, the regulator raised the interest rate from 1.00% to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years. The Bank of Japan governor indicated that further rate hikes remain possible and did not rule out either consecutive increases or a 50-basis-point move if inflation accelerates. However, the decision was adopted by a 7–2 vote, with two board members favouring a more cautious policy.

Today's USDJPY forecast is based on the view that more hawkish expectations for Federal Reserve policy and the Bank of Japan's continued caution are still supporting the dollar's advantage through higher yields. At the same time, the risk of currency intervention by the Japanese authorities and the possibility of further BoJ rate hikes could limit further yen weakness.

Technical outlook

On the D1 chart, USDJPY formed resistance at 157.55 and support at 155.30. On the H4 timeframe, support formed at 155.90 and resistance at 157.90. In this case, consolidation above this level could be considered a signal for the continuation of the uptrend. The upward momentum has not yet been exhausted. The first upside target is 158.50.

At the same time, the USDJPY forecast also considers another market scenario: USDJPY could reverse its trend and move towards the 154.65 area. For this to happen, however, the price would need to break below the 155.30 support level.

USDJPY overview

• Asset: USDJPY
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bullish
• Key resistance levels: 157.90 and 157.55
• Key support levels: 155.90 and 155.30

USDJPY trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Buy Stop)

Consolidation above the 157.90 resistance level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend and create conditions for opening long positions.

• Current price: 157.78
• Entry level: 157.95
• Take Profit: 158.90
• Stop Loss: 157.60
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:2.7

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 24 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risks to the USDJPY outlook include more dovish Federal Reserve rhetoric or weak US economic data, which could reduce US bond yields and put pressure on the dollar. From Japan, the yen could receive support from more hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan, accelerating inflation, and a higher probability of further rate hikes. An additional factor remains the risk of currency intervention by the Japanese authorities if the yen weakens excessively.

Summary

In the short term, fundamental factors provide somewhat more support for further growth in USDJPY. The Federal Reserve has already raised interest rates and retains the option of additional tightening, while the Bank of Japan's rate increase to 1.25% has so far failed to offset the wide yield gap between the US and Japan. USDJPY technical analysis suggests further gains towards the 158.90 level.

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EURUSD is holding near multi-week lows amid a stronger US dollar and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. The current price is 1.1436. Find out more in our analysis for 23 September 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The US Dollar Index is near 100.5, an eight-week high, following hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials
• The market estimates the probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October at around 54%
• EURUSD forecast for 23 September 2026: 1.1430 and 1.1400

Fundamental analysis

EURUSD continues to decline as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials have strengthened expectations of further interest-rate increases. This is weighing on EURUSD and limiting attempts by the euro to recover.

Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin warned that the effects of inflation shocks could persist for a prolonged period and that elevated price pressures risk becoming entrenched. Boston Fed President Susan Collins also supported last week's rate hike and noted the risk of inflation remaining above the 2% target.

The market currently estimates the probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October at 54%. Expectations of further tightening continue to support the US dollar through higher yields and widen the gap in the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets.

However, the geopolitical backdrop has eased somewhat. Oil is falling for a sixth consecutive session after President Donald Trump described a meeting between US representatives and the Iranian side as "very good". Lower oil prices reduce inflation risks and demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, although this is not yet enough to trigger an upward reversal in EURUSD.

The EURUSD outlook is moderately bearish.

Technical outlook

On the H4 timeframe, EURUSD maintains a pronounced bearish structure. After breaking below the 1.1467 area, the pair continued to decline and is now trading near the lower Bollinger Band. A series of lower highs and lower lows confirms the sellers' sustained advantage.

MACD remains below the zero line, while the indicator line is below the signal line, indicating that bearish momentum persists. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the lower part of the neutral zone, so there is still no clear signal of a sustained upward reversal.

The nearest support is located around 1.1430. A breakout below this level would create conditions for a further decline towards 1.1400 and then the 1.1375 area. To weaken the bearish structure, EURUSD needs to return above 1.1467. In this case, the next recovery target would be 1.1489.

EURUSD overview

• Asset: EURUSD
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bearish
• Key resistance levels: 1.1467 and 1.1489
• Key support levels: 1.1430 and 1.1400

EURUSD trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Sell Stop)

Consolidation below the local support level at 1.1430 would confirm the continuation of bearish momentum and create conditions for opening short positions.

• Current price: 1.1436
• Entry level: 1.1428
• Take Profit: 1.1400
• Stop Loss: 1.1442
• Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:2

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 24 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risk to the bearish EURUSD scenario would be a further easing of inflationary pressure amid falling oil prices. This could reduce expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes and trigger a correction in the US dollar. A technical signal of weakening selling pressure would be a return above 1.1467, which would increase the probability of a move towards 1.1489.

Summary

EURUSD remains under pressure from a strong US dollar and retains a bearish bias. Today's EURUSD forecast for 23 September 2026 does not rule out a decline towards 1.1430 and then 1.1400.

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EURUSD has entered a local sideways trend, while the broader trend remains bearish. The current price is 1.1463. Find out more in our analysis for 22 September 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October is estimated at 53.1%
• Key EURUSD resistance is located at 1.1495
• EURUSD forecast for 22 September 2026: 1.1380

Fundamental analysis

The fundamental backdrop for EURUSD currently remains largely in favour of the US dollar. The key factor was the Federal Reserve's September decision to raise the interest rate to a range of 3.75–4.00%. Expectations of further monetary tightening are providing additional support to the dollar. US PCE inflation remains at 3.7%, while domestic demand and economic activity remain resilient.

The European Central Bank is also pursuing tighter policy. At its 10 September meeting, the ECB raised its key interest rates by 25 basis points, citing persistent inflationary pressure. The regulator expects average eurozone inflation of 3.0% in 2026, while its economic growth forecast is only 0.9%. As a result, the ECB faces a more challenging situation: it needs to fight inflation while economic growth is significantly weaker than in the US.

Energy remains an additional risk factor for the European currency. Wholesale natural gas prices in Europe have risen significantly compared with last year, while the ECB notes that higher gas prices are now feeding through into consumer inflation more quickly. As a result, eurozone inflation could remain above target for longer. Today's EURUSD forecast is bearish.

Technical outlook

On the D1 chart, the key resistance level is located around 1.1655, while support has formed at 1.1460. On the H4 timeframe, support is almost aligned with the daily level and lies near 1.1455, while the nearest resistance is at 1.1545. The overall technical picture remains predominantly bearish, so the main scenario suggests a further decline in EURUSD. A period of consolidation and sideways trading is also possible before the decline resumes.

The alternative scenario currently has a lower probability. Consolidation above the 1.1545 resistance level would indicate weakening selling pressure and could create conditions for a further recovery in the pair. In this case, the nearest upside target would be the 1.1595 area.

EURUSD overview

• Asset: EURUSD
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bearish
• Key resistance levels: 1.1545 and 1.1655
• Key support levels: 1.1455 and 1.1460

EURUSD trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Sell Stop)

A breakout below the support level, followed by consolidation below 1.1455, would indicate stronger selling pressure and create conditions for opening short positions with a target at 1.1380.

• Current price: 1.1463
• Entry level: 1.1450
• Take Profit: 1.1380
• Stop Loss: 1.1485
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:3.2

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 23 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risks for EURUSD are linked to shifts in expectations for Federal Reserve and ECB monetary policy. Higher inflation in the US, strong macroeconomic data, and further Federal Reserve rate hikes could strengthen the dollar and increase pressure on the pair. At the same time, a slowdown in the US economy, a weaker labour market, or a more dovish Federal Reserve stance could support a recovery in the euro. Additional risk factors include rising energy prices and a deterioration in the eurozone economic outlook.

Summary

Fundamental and technical factors continue to favour a further decline in EURUSD. The Federal Reserve's more hawkish stance, the resilience of the US economy, and expectations of additional rate hikes are supporting the dollar, while the eurozone economy is facing elevated inflation, high energy costs, and relatively weak growth at the same time.

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The likelihood of another intervention by the Japanese authorities is gradually increasing. The current price is 157.60. Find out more in our analysis for 22 September 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike rose to 56%
• The Bank of Japan raised the interest rate to 1.25%
• The authorities' readiness to intervene in the foreign exchange market if the yen weakens excessively is gradually increasing
• USDJPY forecast for 22 September 2026: 158.50

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis for 22 September 2026 shows that the market situation for USDJPY has shifted noticeably against the yen. After a correction, USDJPY is forming an upward wave and testing the 157.60 level.

Following the latest decision by the US regulator, the market increased expectations of another rate hike in October to around 56%. This supports the interest-rate differential in favour of the dollar.

On 18 September, the Bank of Japan raised the interest rate to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years, while two board members opposed the increase. Against this backdrop, Kazuo Ueda's cautious rhetoric reduced expectations of further tightening in the near term.

After the yen weakened, the BoJ conducted a so-called rate check, requesting current quotes from financial institutions. The market views this as a warning that the authorities are prepared to intervene in the foreign exchange market if the yen weakens excessively.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had previously urged Japan to take decisive monetary-policy measures to address yen weakness. This increases pressure on Tokyo and limits the scope for further depreciation of the Japanese currency.

Today's USDJPY forecast takes into account that more hawkish Federal Reserve monetary-policy expectations and the BoJ's cautious stance preserve the dollar's interest-rate advantage. At the same time, the Japanese authorities' readiness to intervene and the possibility of further BoJ rate hikes could limit the yen's downside potential.

Technical outlook

On the H4 chart, USDJPY formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the middle Bollinger Band and is trading around 157.60. As the pair remains within an ascending channel, it could continue the upward wave as the pattern signal plays out. The first upside target is 158.50.

At the same time, the USDJPY forecast also allows for another market scenario: the pair could form a corrective wave and move towards 156.85 before resuming the uptrend.

USDJPY overview

• Asset: USDJPY
• Timeframe: H4 (Intraday)
• Trend: bullish
• Key resistance levels: 157.80 and 158.50
• Key support levels: 156.85 and 155.08

USDJPY trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Buy Stop)

Consolidation above the 157.80 resistance level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend and create conditions for opening long positions in USDJPY.

• Current price: 157.60
• Entry level: 157.80
• Take Profit: 158.50
• Stop Loss: 157.60
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:3

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 23 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risk to the bullish USDJPY scenario remains a further strengthening of the Bank of Japan's hawkish rhetoric and an increased likelihood of currency intervention. If the market begins to price in a faster rate-hike cycle in Japan, the yen could receive additional support.

Summary

The BoJ is pursuing tighter monetary policy, but this is not preventing USDJPY from rising. USDJPY technical analysis suggests further gains towards the 158.50 level.

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EURUSD remains under selling pressure amid a stronger US dollar and persistent geopolitical risks. The current price is 1.1475. Find out more in our analysis for 21 September 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October is estimated at 53.1%
• Key EURUSD resistance is located at 1.1495
• EURUSD forecast for 21 September 2026: 1.1365

Fundamental analysis

EURUSD is declining after two days of gains. Sellers are preparing for another test of the 1.1455 support level. The pair remains under pressure as the US dollar strengthens following the Federal Reserve's 25-basis-point rate hike and signals that further monetary tightening remains possible. The market estimates the probability of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October at around 53.1%, limiting the euro's recovery potential.

Geopolitical risks remain an additional source of pressure. Continued tensions in the Middle East support demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, while the European currency remains vulnerable amid concerns about increasing geopolitical pressure on Europe. At the same time, lower oil prices at the start of the week have slightly improved sentiment in global markets and limited demand for the USD.

Investors are also monitoring comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde after the European regulator raised its rate to 2.50%. Lagarde previously indicated that further decisions would depend on a broad range of economic indicators rather than solely on rising energy prices. Today's EURUSD forecast is bearish.

Technical outlook

EURUSD is correcting within a Triangle pattern. The price remains below the EMA-65 line, indicating that selling pressure persists. Today's EURUSD forecast suggests a continuation of the downward move towards the 1.1365 target.

The Stochastic Oscillator provides an additional bearish signal. Its readings are rebounding from the descending resistance line, confirming that selling pressure remains. A short-term correction is still possible, but for now it does not change the overall bearish scenario. A breakout below the lower boundary of the Triangle pattern, followed by consolidation below 1.1460, would confirm the decline. In this case, sellers would receive a signal for a further downward move.

The alternative scenario assumes a breakout above the 1.1495 resistance level. Consolidation above this level would indicate weakening selling pressure and a move above the upper boundary of the descending channel. In this case, EURUSD could continue recovering towards the nearest target at 1.1585.

EURUSD overview

• Asset: EURUSD
• Timeframe: H1 (Intraday)
• Trend: bearish
• Key resistance levels: 1.1495 and 1.1525
• Key support levels: 1.1460 and 1.1405

EURUSD trading scenario for today

Trading scenario (Sell Stop)

A breakout below the lower boundary of the Triangle pattern, followed by consolidation below 1.1460, would indicate stronger selling pressure and create conditions for opening short positions with a target at 1.1365.

• Current price: 1.1475
• Entry level: 1.1460
• Take Profit: 1.1365
• Stop Loss: 1.1485
• Risk-to-reward ratio: above 1:3.8

The trade idea is valid until 08:00 AM on 22 September 2026 (server time, UTC+3).

Risk factors

The main risk to the bearish EURUSD scenario remains a possible strengthening of the euro following comments from ECB officials and Christine Lagarde if they signal that tight monetary policy will be maintained.

Summary

EURUSD technical analysis indicates that selling pressure remains in place, while a breakout below 1.1460 would confirm the bearish scenario towards the 1.1365 target.

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