Bitcoin (BTCUSD) stays positive as buyers focus on further gains

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rose to 65,126 USD, with risk assets supported by US economic data. For more details, see our analysis for 10 August 2026.

BTCUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The Bitcoin (BTCUSD) price maintains its upward momentum
• US data worsened the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy
• BTCUSD forecast for 10 August 2026: 65,340

Fundamental analysis

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading near 65,126 USD. The fundamental backdrop for BTCUSD remains moderately positive following a weak US labour market report. In July, employment fell by 23 thousand versus an expected increase of 80 thousand, while the May and June figures were revised down by a combined 103 thousand. Unemployment remained near 4.1%, while labour force participation stood at 61.4%.

The weak data significantly reduced expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy, with the likelihood of a September rate hike falling to around 40% from 55% before the data release. Treasury yields declined, and the dollar came under pressure, creating generally more favourable conditions for Bitcoin and other risk assets.

However, the cryptocurrency market also received a negative signal. The US Senate postponed consideration of the Clarity Act until September, prolonging uncertainty around digital asset regulation. The bill is intended to define regulators’ powers in the cryptocurrency market, making the delay particularly important for exchanges and institutional participants.

Bitcoin’s (BTCUSD) reaction to the news has so far been muted: the weak labour market has not triggered a strong rally, while the delay to the bill has not led to any significant sell-off either, indicating a relative balance between supply and demand. The main risk remains a further deterioration in the US economy: if weak employment is perceived as a recession threat, the positive impact of lower rate expectations could quickly give way to a broader decline in risk appetite.

The Bitcoin (BTCUSD) forecast is moderately positive.

Technical outlook

On the H1 chart, BTCUSD maintains its upward momentum and is trading near 65,126. After recovering from the 64,650–64,800 zone, the price returned above the middle Bollinger Band and approached the indicator’s upper boundary. The short-term structure remains bullish, although the market has already approached the area of local highs.

The nearest resistance level is located in the 65,170–65,340 zone. Consolidation above 65,340 would confirm continued growth and open the way for new upward momentum. Support levels lie at 65,000 and 64,820, with a stronger zone below near 64,650. As long as BTC remains above 64,820–65,000, buyers have the upper hand.

MACD is turning upwards, confirming a recovery in upward momentum. The Stochastic Oscillator has risen above 80 and entered overbought territory, so a pause or local pullback is possible at current levels. The baseline scenario remains a move within the 65,000–65,340 range with a moderately positive bias.

BTCUSD overview

• Asset: BTCUSD
• Timeframe: H1 (intraday)
• Trend: bullish
• Key resistance levels: 65,340 and 66,020
• Key support levels: 65,000 and 64,820

Bitcoin trading scenarios for today

Main scenario (Buy Stop)

A breakout and consolidation above the 65,340 USD resistance level would confirm continued upward momentum in BTCUSD and create conditions for a move towards the next target.

• Take Profit: 66,020
• Stop Loss: 65,000

Alternative scenario (Sell Stop)

A breakout and consolidation below the 64,820 USD support level would indicate weakening buying pressure and a correction towards the next support zone.

• Take Profit: 64,650
• Stop Loss: 65,050

Risk factors

The main risk to the BTCUSD bullish scenario remains overbought conditions after the recent rise and buyers’ failure to consolidate above 65,340 USD. Renewed expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy or a deterioration in global risk appetite could add to pressure. At the same time, weak US data and lower yields continue to support Bitcoin.

Summary

The Bitcoin price is moving higher as the market focuses on positive signals and ignores the delay to the Clarity Act. The BTCUSD forecast for today, 10 August 2026, suggests a rise towards 65,340.

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