Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading near 1,871 USD on Tuesday, with expectations of a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike weighing on the price. For more details, see our analysis for 11 August 2026.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) is hovering around 1,870 USD. The short-term fundamental backdrop for ETHUSD appears neutral to negative, while Ethereum’s medium-term fundamental factors remain fairly stable.
The main pressure on Ethereum is coming from US monetary policy. At its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve kept the interest rate within the 3.50–3.75% range, while the market continues to price in the possibility of a further hike. High interest rates typically reduce the appeal of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, so the Fed’s continued hawkish stance is a negative factor for ETHUSD.
US inflation is particularly important for the pair. CPI data for July will be released on 12 August. Higher inflation could fuel expectations of further rate hikes and add to pressure on Ethereum. Conversely, weaker inflation could reduce US bond yields and support a recovery in ETHUSD.
The Ethereum (ETHUSD) forecast is moderately negative.
On the hourly chart, Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading around 1,860 and remains within a sideways channel. The resistance level has formed at 1,940. However, downward momentum is prevailing, with a target at 1,820.
On the daily chart, the resistance level has formed at 1,955, with support at 1,820. The price is unlikely to break these boundaries in the medium term. If the downtrend continues, the target could be 1,775.
The most active trading is expected intraday on the hourly chart. The resistance levels on the daily chart are unlikely to be broken in the short term. Therefore, the broader trend remains sideways in the medium term.
Main scenario (Sell Stop)
A breakout and consolidation below the 1,860 support level would confirm increased selling pressure and create conditions for a further decline in ETHUSD.
Alternative scenario (Buy Stop)
A rebound from the 1,860 support level and consolidation above this mark would indicate an upside breakout from the range.
In the short term, risks for ETHUSD are tilted somewhat to the downside, primarily due to high US interest rates and uncertainty ahead of the inflation release. For Ethereum to achieve more sustainable growth, expectations of further Federal Reserve policy tightening will need to ease, and overall demand for risk assets will need to improve. In the medium term, the development of the Ethereum network remains a supportive factor for ETH.
Ethereum has moved into a range, while fundamental support is expanding. The ETHUSD forecast for today, 11 August 2026, suggests range-bound trading between 1,820 and 1,860.

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