DE 40 forecast: index reaches new all-time high

The DE 40 stock index broke out of its sideways range and hit a new all-time high. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Germany’s industrial production increased by 0.2% month-on-month in July 2026
• Market impact: the data creates a moderately positive backdrop for the German stock market

DE 40 fundamental analysis

The release of Germany’s industrial production data is generally neutral or moderately negative for the DE 40 index. According to the reported figures, industrial production increased by 0.2% month-on-month, fully matching the market forecast. On the one hand, continued growth is a positive signal and indicates that Germany’s industrial sector continues to expand. On the other hand, the growth rate slowed noticeably from the previous reading of 0.7%.

For the DE 40 index, this release is unlikely to become an independent driver of a strong move. The figure matched the forecast, so a significant part of the information may have already been priced into stocks before the data release. In the short term, the index reaction may remain limited. More importantly, industrial production growth has slowed from 0.7% to 0.2%.

DE 40 technical analysis

The DE 40 index has reached a new all-time high and is correcting. The nearest resistance level is located at 26,355.0, while the main support lies at 25,350.0. The medium-term uptrend remains intact. Only a breakout below the support level could signal a trend reversal. The next potential upside target could be 27,040.0.

The DE 40 price forecast outlines the following scenarios:

• Pessimistic DE 40 scenario: a breakout below the 25,350.0 support level could push the index down to 24,705.0
• Optimistic DE 40 scenario: a breakout above the 26,355.0 resistance level could drive the index up to 27,040.0

Summary

The published data can be assessed as neutral with a moderately negative bias for the DE 40 and German stock market. A positive factor is the increase in industrial production, which is fully in line with the forecast. On the downside, growth has slowed noticeably compared to the previous 0.7%. Therefore, the statistics broadly confirm a scenario of a slow recovery in German industry. For the DE 40, this means investors will pay closer attention to the upcoming industrial orders data. The nearest upside target remains 27,040.0.

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