DE 40 forecast: market prepares to sell after reaching the technical target

The DE 40 index starts the week around 26,137. The data confirms the region’s resilience. The DE 40 forecast for today is moderately negative.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• The DE 40 is undergoing a downward correction with a rebound within it
• The data confirms the resilience of the region’s economies
• The nearest support level is located at 26,040

DE 40 fundamental analysis

The DE 40 index starts Monday around 26,137. Last Friday, it rose and broke a four-day losing streak. The market was supported by gains across most sectors and positive macroeconomic data.

Preliminary PMI data showed that manufacturing activity in the eurozone expanded in August at its fastest pace in more than four years, with Germany as the main driver. The results confirmed the region’s resilience even amid the conflict in the Middle East.

Investor optimism is still being restrained by high oil prices, elevated bond yields, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. The consumer sector outperformed, including carmakers, retailers, and sports industry companies. Technology stocks also gained, while pharmaceuticals, healthcare, and utilities lagged behind.

Adidas led the gains, with its stock up 2.1%. BMW, Scout24, Siemens, Infineon Technologies, and Zalando rose by 1.4–2%. Among the laggards, Qiagen shares fell by 3%, MTU Aero Engines by 2%, and Fresenius Medical Care by 1.8%. The DE 40 ended the week down approximately 1.2%.

The DE 40 outlook is moderate.

DE 40 technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the DE 40 moved into a downward correction after rising towards 26,500 and is currently trading around 26,100 within a descending channel. The index has rebounded from the 25,885 support level but remains below the local highs and the channel’s upper boundary. The short-term structure remains neutral-to-bearish, with the 26,195–26,350 zone being the nearest obstacle for buyers.

The immediate support level is located at 26,040, followed by 25,885 and 25,730. A consolidation below 26,040 would increase the likelihood of another test of the lower channel boundary near 25,885. The first resistance level is at 26,195, followed by 26,350 and 26,500. MACD remains in negative territory, although bearish momentum is weakening. The Stochastic has risen into overbought territory and is beginning to turn lower, increasing the risk of another downward wave.

The base trading idea is to sell after a sustained move below 26,040, with a sell stop at 26,040, a take profit at 25,885, and a stop loss at 26,120. The potential profit is about 155 pips with a risk of 80 pips, resulting in a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.9. The idea remains valid until 25 August 2026, provided the DE 40 does not consolidate above 26,195.

Summary

The DE 40 index is undergoing a correction and could move lower. The DE 40 forecast for today, 24 August 2026, does not rule out a decline towards 26,040.

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