Five events will drive currencies, indices and oil this week, and each one comes with a clear trading scenario. SpaceX joins the Nasdaq-100 on Tuesday, the FOMC minutes land on Wednesday, China reports inflation on Thursday, Canada publishes jobs data on Friday, and the US-Iran talks keep the oil market on alert every single day. […]
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Oil markets stabilised at the end of last week as Middle East tensions eased and traders unwound much of the geopolitical premium that had supported Brent through the first half of June. With conflict risk fading from prices, attention has returned to macro fundamentals: the supply-demand balance, the global growth outlook and OPEC+ strategy. The […]
Markets enter the final week of June under elevated uncertainty, shaped by a hawkish Fed and renewed volatility in oil. The Fed held rates at 3.75% last week, but Chair Warsh's commentary and the updated projections sent a clear message: rates will stay restrictive for as long as the inflation outlook demands. Oil added its […]
Investor attention this week centres on central bank decisions, with the Fed's Wednesday meeting and updated FOMC projections carrying the most weight for markets. The previous week brought the first signs of profit-taking on US equities, partly driven by capital reallocation around the SpaceX IPO, while USD/JPY extended its advance to multi-year highs and drew […]
Investor attention this week centres on US inflation, the ECB's rate decision, and an assessment of global economic momentum. Last Friday's jobs report reaffirmed labour market resilience, with 172,000 positions added against a forecast of 85,000, pushing back expectations of a near-term Fed rate cut. In this article we have prepared an analysis of the […]
Investor attention this week centres on Eurozone inflation, the state of the Australian economy and, above all, the US labour market. The dollar retains solid support as markets price in the Fed holding rates steady through year-end, with an additional hike remaining on the table if inflation stays firm and labour market conditions hold up. […]
Investor attention this week is firmly on US inflation signals and an assessment of global demand resilience. The appointment of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair has already shifted market sentiment: the probability of a rate hike by December 2026 has surged to 70%, and the dollar continues to hold dominant ground. In this article we […]