The first week of September settled nothing. The US labour market report showed employment holding up while the pace of hiring slows, which left the Fed's next step exactly where it was. The dollar stayed ...
Analysis
The first week of September settled nothing. The US labour market report showed employment holding up while the pace of hiring slows, which left the Fed's next step exactly where it was. The dollar stayed strong and stock indices finished the week without a clear idea. This week hands the market two answers instead: the […]
August closed on a firm note for US stocks, carried by the first corporate reports of the season. Attention now swings back to the macro calendar, and the Non-Farm Payrolls forecast on Friday is what this week comes down to. Before it, the United States reports JOLTS job openings and the ISM Manufacturing PMI on […]
Eli Lilly has started selling Foundayo, its once-a-day weight loss pill, in the United Kingdom. This is the first European market for a drug that the company hopes will follow Mounjaro and Zepbound, the two products that now bring in almost 15 billion USD every quarter. The LLY stock forecast below sets out what the […]
The dollar's direction this week comes down to one release. Core PCE, the inflation gauge the Fed watches most closely, arrives on Wednesday alongside the second estimate of Q2 GDP. Economists expect the monthly figure to accelerate to 0.3% after June's reading of just 0.1%, and that gap is what markets will trade. Three more […]
Meta is under pressure from a major court case in California. If the outcome touches the algorithms and the advertising model behind Facebook and Instagram, META shares have room to slide toward 440 USD. Below is the trade setup, the levels that confirm it, and the metrics that will show whether the pressure is reaching […]
Another August week passed relatively calmly after the series of strong moves at the start of the month. Tension in the Middle East made itself felt again, though everything paused by the end of the week, which reduced the geopolitical premium in oil prices. At the same time investors kept assessing the condition of the […]
Gold Fed rate hike bets have been the single biggest weight on the metal all year, and over one week in August that weight came off. US payrolls fell by 23,000 in July when the market was looking for a gain of about 80,000, and consumer price inflation then slowed to 3.4%. The implied odds […]
Apple CXMT memory chips are now in testing, and that one supply chain change sits at the centre of this AAPL stock forecast. Memory prices are rising fast enough to squeeze the gross margin on every iPhone and Mac the company builds. Apple's own guidance for the September quarter came in below what the market […]
Last week returned geopolitics to market pricing. Developments in the Middle East periodically added a risk premium to energy prices, although tension eased by Friday. Another headline event was the coordinated action by Japan and the United States in support of the yen, after which USD/JPY dropped sharply away from its 40-year high. At the […]
ExxonMobil doubled its net profit and more than tripled its free cash flow as oil prices climbed. A local correction is possible after such a strong run, yet a breakout above 158 USD could open the way for XOM shares to reach 177 USD. In Brief ExxonMobil doubled its net profit in Q2 2026 compared […]
The final week of July delivered high volatility and a clear change of drivers. Markets priced in several factors at once: renewed tension in the Middle East, the start of the US corporate earnings season and firm rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, a combination that pushed stock indices into a correction. The currency market added […]
